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BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 133 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This week, we’ve got a 13-fight card at Boise, Idaho. It is headlined by Junior Dos Santos vs Blagoy Ivanov, that will be making his UFC debut. DraftKings has smaller contests with this card since it’s just a Fight Night card using lesser known title, but there’s still well over $100k to be obtained. I will be pursuing my fair share of that money and that I hope you guys will be too. Here are a couple plays I enjoy this weekend along with my fade of the week.
Cash Game play of this week — Alexander Volkanovski ($9,200)
I think Volkanovski is the”safest” play on this particular card and also his -300 gaming lineup would agree with me. That’s where I will be starting my lineup this week and I’ll figure the rest out from there. Volkanovski averages 116.5 DK points through his first four UFC fights so he’s got a ton of upside too. He could potential score more than two other winners with this card combined. I do think he is in drama for GPPs too for that reason, but he will likely be the most peculiar owned fighter on the card and we do not care about possession as much in cash games. I would suggest paying up for the expensive price tag on your money games and I then search for three or more others wins you are confident in.
GPP play of this week — Junior Dos Santos ($8,700)
JDS ought to be the way better striker in this struggle and I think this is where the battle will occur. He could get KO’d at the opening seconds of this fight and score 0 points, but this is what makes him a GPP drama in lieu of a cash game play. With both of these Heavyweights, we should likely find a KO inside the 25-minues and that I feel the former champion, JDS, are the one to receive it. He has good takedown defense so he should be able to maintain this fight on the feet where he will have a 4-inch achieve benefit to work with.
Underdog play of this week — Niko Price ($7,900)
Niko will function as underdog drama of this week. The odds indicate that the fight ought to be fairly close and there’s a good chance that he utilizes his wrestling to obtain the advantage. In 5 fights he hasn’t seen a decision yet, and there is a possibility it remains that way if he gets Brown into the floor. Niko has some slick submissions in his arsenal along with a lot of heart. On the toes, Brown probably has the benefit with his reach, but Price does have any sneaky power also, which can’t be overlooked. Overall, I enjoy this as a GPP play.
Fade of the week — Alejandro Perez ($9,100)
Perez is the 2nd most expensive fighter on this card and he’s just $100 less expensive than Volkanovski. In my view, Perez will require a end to really have a shot at paying that expensive salary and I don’t want to invest in that, personally. He has never landed more than 1 takedown in a fight and Wineland has exceptional takedown defense, therefore we must see this fight take place on the feet. I think Perez needs to be the one to get his hand raised in the end but I think it’s going to be through decision. If that is the case then he could score ~60 points in a win, and at $9.1k that is not going to win anybody a tournament. I will be full fading Perez this week and hoping he doesn’t get the end and he’s my official evaporate of the week.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown with investigation on each struggle, my personal approaches & recommendations, and my pick prediction for every fight then it is possible to discover that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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