This week, we’ve got a 13-fight card in Boise, Idaho. It is headlined by Junior Dos Santos vs Blagoy Ivanov, who is making his UFC debut. DraftKings has smaller contests with this card because it’s only a Fight Night card using lesser known name, but there is still well over $100k to be obtained. I will be chasing my fair share of that money and that I hope you guys will be . Listed below are a couple plays I like this weekend and my fade of this week.
Money Game play of the week — Alexander Volkanovski ($9,200)
I think Volkanovski is the”safest” drama on this card and also his -300 betting line would agree with me. That’s where I’ll be starting my lineup this week and I will figure the rest out from there. Volkanovski averages 116.5 DK points during his first four UFC fights therefore he has a whole lot of upside too. He could possible score over two winners on this particular card combined. I do think he is in play for GPPs as well for this reason, but he will probably be the heaviest owned fighter on the card and we don’t care about ownership as much in money games. I would suggest paying for the costly cost in your money games and then look for three or more others wins you’re confident in.
GPP play of the week — Junior Dos Santos ($8,700)
JDS should be the way better striker inside this fight and I believe that is where the battle will occur. He could get KO’d in the opening minutes of the battle and score 0 points, but this is what makes him a GPP drama in lieu of a money match play. With both of these Heavyweights, we should likely find a KO within the 25-minues and that I think the former winner, JDS, will be the one to get it. He has good takedown defense so he ought to be able to maintain this fight on the feet where he will have a 4-inch achieve advantage to work with.
Underdog drama of this week — Niko Price ($7,900)
Niko is going to be my underdog play of the week. The odds indicate that the fight ought to be fairly close and there is a great possibility that he utilizes his wrestling to obtain the advantage. In 5 fights he hasn’t seen a decision however, and there’s a chance it stays that way if he receives Brown into the ground. Niko has some slick entrances in his arsenal and a lot of heart. On the feet, Brown likely has the advantage with his reach, but Price does have some sneaky power also, which can not be overlooked. All in all, I enjoy this as a GPP play.
Fade of this week — Alejandro Perez ($9,100)
Perez is the 2nd most expensive fighter on this card and he’s only $100 cheaper than Volkanovski. In my opinion, Perez will need a end to really have a shot at paying off that pricey salary and I do not wish to invest in that, personally. He’s never landed greater than 1 takedown at a fight and Wineland has exceptional takedown defense, so we must see this battle take place on the feet. I believe Perez needs to be the one to get his hand raised in the conclusion but I think it will be via decision. If that is true then he can score ~60 points in a win, and also at $9.1k that is not going to win anybody a championship. I’ll be complete fading Perez this week and hoping he does not get the end and he’s my official evaporate of this week.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using analysis on every struggle, my personal approaches & suggestions, and also my pick outlook for every fight then it is possible to find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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