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BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON FOX 30 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend we’ve got a free Card big FOX. We are finally getting the rematch with Dustin Poirier vs Eddie Alvarez after their first fight ended in a No Contest. These are two of the most exciting fighters in the UFC and we ought to observe an wonderful struggle here. DraftKings has some decent contests out with this card and I was surprised to find that a 20k top prize in their own principal tournament. That’s precisely what I shall be pursuing and I will be making a lot of LUs to throw to that. Here are a Couple of plays I enjoy for Saturday and my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Stack (Dustin Poirier $8,800 AND Eddie Alvarez $7,400)
This is an effortless way to start my cash LU this week and I anticipate this to be very well known in most cash game formats. These two have been on pace to get a top scoring struggle in their first fight and I think we have a simple 100+ involving the two of them . I believe the winner of the fight will score more than 100 points themselves and then we add all the sig strikes and other things from the loser as well. But we guarantee ourselves that the triumph. The only way this fight doesn’t score over 100 DK points is someone gets kneed in the mind illegal and the fight is stopped short….
GPP drama of the week — Hakeem Dawodu ($9,400)
I think that this matchup was set up to get Dawodu a win. In addition, I believe Islam Makhachev, who’s $200 more, will probably be quite highly possessed and this may be a good pivot him off to distinguish your LU a little bit. I really do think Dawodu will obtain some good possession too but I think he is a good GPP play this week. I believe the most likely outcome in this fight is Dawodu getting a (T)KO win. He must pay his off $9.4k salary if this is the situation, particularly if it is early. He’s a very solid striker and we did not get to find out that in his UFC debut where he was upset very early in the fight. This is the perfect fit for him to flaunt his striking and there was a lot of hype behind him going into his debut. I believe we can see a 1st round KO here which makes Hakeem Dawodu my GPP drama of this week.
Underdog play of this week — Ion Cutelaba ($7,600)
The most important reason Cutelaba is that my underdog drama of the week is because there is no way he is not scoring at least 10x when he is able to get the win. He’s got big power and could get a 1st round KO here and score over 100 DK points. If he does this with his cheap salary of $7.6k he’ll certainly be at the winning lineup. This is a solid fight to target both sides but points per salary shrewd, Cutelaba has among those higher ceilings on the card. I do not see this fight going to conclusion and the winner should score highly. I think if you’re making multiple lineups this weekend then you must definitely have vulnerability to Cutelaba.
Fade of the week — Katlyn Chookagian ($8,700)
I’m fading a few fighters this week personally, but the person I never even considered using was Katlyn Chookagian. It is not that I don’t think she can win, because she for sure could. But I don’t see her paying off an $8.7k DK salary with a win. I believe we would require a finish from her in this fight to get 10x that salary and I believe that is quite unlikely to happen. The most Chookagian has scored in a UFC fight so far in her career is 83 DK points. That would not be enough here to place her at the winning lineup at her $8.7k price label. I think if you are earning 20 or less lineups that Saturday you can safely fade Chookagian and when she gets a win it should not hurt much.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using analysis on each fight, my personal approaches & recommendations, and also my pick prediction for every single fight then you can discover that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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