Vegas Over/Under: 30.5
The Record Projection: 28-54 of fromal The Bet: Under with confidence Rinse and repeat.
In 2013-14, the New York Knicks’ 37-45 record could not quite fit their over/under of 49.5. Back in 2014-15, they came 23.5 games short of reaching their over/under of 40.5. In 2015-16, they had their over/under set at 31.5 and won 32 games. In 2016-17, their 31-51 album fell well shy of this 38.5 over/under.
Each year, Vegas provides a realistic expectation, listens as the people works itself into a frenzy about the diminished expectations for a major-market team and then (probably) collectively laughs as its forecast either turns out accurate or too optimistic.
The last time New York exceeded the projection by more than one game was 2012-13, and the roster was a bit different. So should this year break the mould?
Yes, Kristaps Porzingis is gifted. Yes, Tim Hardaway Jr. could inject more offensive firepower into the lineup. Yes, Madison Square Garden will most likely be filled with cheering fans, even though some (many?) Of them will be rooting on the opposition.
However, Carmelo Anthony is still on the roster, and there is no end in sight into the never-ending will-they-won’t-they trade saga. Frank Ntilikina, ramon Sessions and Ron Baker comprise the rotation. Convincing thickness exists at zero positions.
Please. Do not bet on the Knicks to acquire more than 30 games.