Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and leave our college football picks on the Monday night game between the Louisville Cardinals and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and I will detract from our regularly scheduled plan of NFL discussion to dip our toes.
It will probably be the very first and only time this season we do so, as the previous week of display NFL football is somewhat lackluster compared to some regular-season sport of NCAA soccer comprising one of the best teams in the nation, plus a legendary soccer program to boot up, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, lets begin the debate after my friend Doug Upstone got the better of me last week while the Titans were backed by me. We have been placing wins forth and back so it looks like its my turn for the golden wreath, as I will accompany the squares laying the lumber that is heavy onto a road favorite and heartily endorse the Irish.
After reviewing the college football odds almost six days prior to this Monday night event, I see the line has spiked a half-point on the favorite, opening at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where it is presently offered in a solid -20 throughout the board at all the best internet sportsbooks.
I like the Irish but you are leaning within this season-opening clash to the Cardinals. Other than the place, why is it that you believe Louisville can hang with the boys in South Bend?
Doug Upstone: Yes, Swinger, IMO and a successful win, it said a great deal about the management of the Steelers and Titans. Let us proceed to soccer, will our recordings on this one and in which the games rely.
Recall those Thursday night matches Louisville utilized to perform against big-name competitions? They held their own and engineered upsets. These were fun games and also the Cardinals were an exciting golf club.
However, for example the former Papa Johns Stadium and its phony (in real life) proprietor, Louisville football last year was worse than a three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked miracles and will be out win games and to change the culture. This will not happen immediately as the talent level is down from theVille. Nonethelessthis is a major time for Louisville, a team which has the opportunity.
Ive read where the Cards trainers have sped up the slow mechanics of QB Jawon Pass (great name for a QB) and I like Hassan Hall as the lead running back. Than having a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season 23, the protection, well, which makes me more worried. You have up your Irish, please dont forget.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals will not be doing much flying in this match since the Notre Dame defense will keep them cozy in their nest. Scott Satterfield is now in the big leagues and hes got a team last year, where they went winless in ACC action coming off of a dismal record. This rebuild is akin to carrying a hot air balloon and seeking to turn it in an F-22 Raptor.
While this may eventually happen, the problem is that Louisville is confronting a team that made it to the CFP this past year and possessed only one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, devoting only 17.2 points within the normal season and moving a perfect 12-0 until they fulfilled Clemson from the CFP semifinals. The offense was clicking on all cylinders averaging over 33 points per match.
My issue is, how will be a quarterback like Pass whos slow to discharge, designed to obtain some traction against a defense? Particularly when he is working with a new coach and an offensive strategy that is entirely new?
Please, Doug, save me Im lost! I see no way, shape or form in which Louisville will be able to keep pace with the Golden Domers and Im desperate to the brand new wisdom and prodigious handicapping expertise!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im pleased to read in your last sentence you are coming around to the bright side of sports betting, or youre just being the exact wise a** you are. I will allow the SBR readers who are making school football selections decide on this. I am the first to realize Louisville was, but 1-11 ATS and sucked last season.
But that staff COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino, like he gave up on the Atlanta Falcons. A new trainer brings a new mindset and this being a federal game, Satterfield will sell his team on making a statement. Louisville does have to trust they will not be taken by the Irish and never have much fight.
Let us also consider, Brian Kelly with the gold and blue is simply 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, and when dishing out 20 or more specimens, a mere 7-9-1 ATS. That defense you said might improve as the season progresses but substituting five starters, even whenever you dont/cant recruit like Clemson or Bama, it will take time.
Swinging Johnson: Well Doug, I was being a bit facetious because though you have an impressive handicapping restart, you miss the mark from time to time. And in this case, you happen to be shooting blanks because Louisville could be better compared to last year but I would submit that they are coached by a Rhesus monkey and improve upon their deplorable document rendered by an equally awkward trainer such as Petrino.
I understand that placing nearly three touchdowns on the road would be square biz for sure and Joe Q. Public never got rich by betting the heavy street chalk, but at times the public is right, and also in this instance they definitely are. Until next week when we get down on our NFL Game of the Week, then lets see what happens on Monday night when the Irish come prepared to rumble in Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)