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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
With the weigh-ins complete, TJ looks sharp and has shown himself well prepared for the 125lb branch. On the feet he should have an important edge over Cejudo. The length of TJ, combined with his unorthodox fashion, will let him land severe volume contrary to the more limited wrestler. Additionally leg kicks are a deadly option against front heavy karate stance. Cejudo will probably be needing takedowns and important top control if he’s to win any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has exceptional wrestling himself as well as an arguably more dangerous grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should limit Cejudo’s chances to take and on the ground he will be hard to control for extended periods. Overall the road to success looks slender for Cejudo whilst TJ is a proven finisher who carries good cardio and far superior volume to acquire over 5 rounds. The wager will be TJ Dillashaw to become the dual champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both of these fighters have some defects to their match but stylistically this is a winnable battle for the underdog. On the toes Vanzant is unorthodox but likely quicker with more volume. Ostovich has a simpler style but neither fighter is likely to land considerable harm here. The size and strength of Ostovich will probably be a major advantage on the ground where both women have a tendency to attract the fight. Vanzant is stubborn but takes insecure choices and leaves a great deal of openings for opponents. Ostovich can capitalise here and her exceptional control means she’ll spend a great deal more time on top or at dominant positions. Expect a back and forth struggle where we get good value on the underdog chances.
Bet = Ostovich at 2.35 (+135) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski the”Violence Queen” is creating her debut following an impressive run since the KSW winner. Matching up using Calderwood she has the advantage in most areas. The power and aggression of Lipski’s combos at the pocket will probably be overwhelming for Calderwood who lacks speed and head movement. This fight is most likely to perform out on the toes but on the mat it’s Lipski with the better skills. Calderwood is coming from a”blessed” entry win in a fight where she was having a great deal of trouble. Over her career she’s been know to struggle with adversity during conflicts and search for a way out. Lipski though looks to be very durable and struggles with heart. In 24 years old she also will be showing substantial improvements between conflicts.
Bet = Lipski at 1.53 (-188) odds. Risk 5 Units to acquire 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs to get an unlikely matchup against an increasing prospect. Hernandez brings a style which is proven against Cowboy with his fast start and relentless pressure. If this fight goes the distance it will be Hernandez pushing the speed, holding Cerrone from the fence and procuring takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best path to victory is snatching a submission off his back but that is a small chance against a powerful wrestler. The power, athleticism, childhood and style of Hernandez will be a great deal for the veteran to handle with only 3 rounds to work with. Cerrone is typically a slow starter as well as the drop back to 155lb is not likely to assist his durability issues.
Bet = Hernandez in 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 4 Units to acquire 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
This is a rematch struggle in the first back in 2014, which Benavidez won via conclusion. Today it is Ortiz that has shown the newest improvements in his sport, currently riding an impressive win series. Benavidez is still a top contender but does look like he’s slightly declining in his current appearances. As an underdog Ortiz includes a couple of avenues to victory. He will be at a disadvantage on the feet in terms of volume, but packs considerable power. Benavidez has been wobbled consistently in recent conflicts indicating his durability is fading. Furthermore the 34 year old will slow down later in the struggle as Ortiz brings a constant grinding pace. This ought to be a close fight that looks to be lined too wide.
Bet = Ortiz in 3.05 (+205) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is moving up as a late replacement to take on the difficult veteran Glover. On the toes the disparity is wide. Roberson is lightning fast and has powerful counters. Glover has slowed substantially into his later years and together with his durability evaporating his lack of head motion is evident. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) is not known for his striking yet discovered enormous victory himself on the feet in his last fight against Glover. The obvious dilemma for Roberson is his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he should be advancing here as a young prospect. Glover may find some takedowns however if he doesn’t get an early entry it will be tough to keep up with the younger, quicker and more athletic Roberson. Additionally if he can not get it to the mat his choices seem bleak. As an underdog, Roberson looks a good bet.
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